the latest...

**Humidity today was lower than it was yesterday, but continues to average higher than it was for all of the month of November. At my location in the upper part of town I saw a range of 25% early this morning to 54% during the mid-afternoon.

Friday, December 2, 2016

milder air coming, again... (pm.02.dec.16)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 52.0F (11.1C)
High temp: 59.0F (15.0C)
Rainfall: none

It's totally clear this evening, at the end of a sunshine-filled day.  There were only the faintest and feeblest attempts at cloud development along the mountain peaks this afternoon, along with a period of light haze from the mid-afternoon through the early evening hours -- otherwise the December sun was unhindered.  Temperatures are on the cool side, but actually, more in line with mid-November norms.

Significant warming is just now starting to appear in the upper-levels of the atmosphere, and that's going to set the stage for our weather situation over the coming several days.  It may take a little time for milder temps to appear here at our elevation, but it is looking like we'll see a gradual warming trend over the weekend into early next week.  There could be a few waves of high clouds from time to time, otherwise there should still be a good amount of sunshine.

The next surge of cooler air is currently scheduled for the end of next week -- with extended range computer models continuing to hint at the potential for some kind of storm system in our general vicinity by the 11th of the month, which is a week from Sunday.  It has been a long long long long stretch of dry and uneventful weather around here, so I would be more than happy if we could see our first round of winter precipitation.  We'll keep an eye on it...

Forecast details and other info can be found on tabs above.

Thursday, December 1, 2016

coolish december arrival... (pm.01.dec.16)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 50.7F (10.4C)
High temp: 59.2F (15.1C)
Rainfall: none

Today has been one of the coolest of the season, in spite of the fact that we had a lot of sunshine.  There were just a few scattered clouds, mainly in the vicinity of the mountains during the mid-day hours, but all of those clouds are gone now, with hazy skies and a small sliver of a crescent moon visible in the west this evening.  Humidity has remained on the high side, compared to what we've experienced since mid-October, ranging from 42 to 57% over the course of the day.

It's smooth sailing ahead according to all of the computer model data -- at least for the next ten days or so.  A flat and uneventful upper-level flow will dominate the weather pattern through the weekend and nearly all of next week, keeping us dry and relatively mild for this time of year.  The slightly cooler air we're dealing with right now will start to moderate back into the milder zone as early as Sunday, which is where we spent most of the month of November.  It's just been such a pleasant autumn/early winter season this year.

Tonight's data does show a significant storm system trying to develop across Himalayan north India around the 11th or 12th of the month, but those extended range models have been very inconsistent lately, so we'll need to watch it day-by-day to see if it is anything more than a fluke in the long-term solutions...

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

november: zero rainfall... (pm.30.nov.16)>

Wednesday's stats:

Low temp: 53.8F (12.1C)
High temp: 59.9F (15.5C)
Rainfall: none

It's very hazy late this evening, otherwise we have partly cloudy skies, and the highest humidity since the middle of October.  Since around 2:30pm, humidity has bounced above 50%, reaching 56% late this afternoon -- after starting at around 25% early this morning.  We've had a day of constant fluctuations between sunshine and clouds, with the coolest high temp I've recorded in exactly two weeks.

An upper-level disturbance is located over the northwestern corner of Kashmir at the moment, and that's what has stirred up the considerable amount of cloudiness during the past 12 to 18 hours or so.  The feel and smell of moisture is in the air, but it still looks like the risk of any precipitation will remain to our north in the higher elevations overnight.  A slightly cooler air mass is seeping in, as we've been expecting, but even though temperatures will be cooler the next few days, we'll still be running in the above normal range for the beginning of December.

Unless someone witnesses a rogue/random rain drop before midnight, November 2016 will go down in the history books as a TOTALLY DRY MONTH WITH 0.00" OF RAINFALL.  This is something that rarely happens, even during April and November, which are the driest months of the year here in the Dharamsala area, on average.

Check out THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab at the top of the page for forecast details...

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

minor cooling trend... (pm.29.nov.16)>

Tuesday's stats:

Low temp: 55.5F (13.1C)
High temp: 62.2F (16.8C)
Rainfall: none

Our sky is about 75% overcast this evening as dusk turns to darkness, but those clouds are exclusively of the high and thin variety.  Actually, we had occasional extensive patches of those high clouds all day, with periods of nice sunshine mixed in as well.  This is the third day of a very slow decline in temperatures, though we remain well above where we should be for the end of November.  Humidity was again quite variable -- ranging from 18% early this morning to around 43% during the mid-afternoon.

The latest disturbance in the jet stream flow is just now moving into northwestern Afghanistan, and is expected to move rapidly east-northeastward during the next 36 hours or so.  Once again, occasional waves of high clouds are all we can expect to see from this system, with the risk of some scattered light to moderate showers of rain and snow remaining in the higher mountain areas to our north.  There will be a minor push of cooler air as this system sweeps by, but we've got a long way to go if we want to drop below normal, temp-wise -- so the bit of cooling we get will really be insignificant for the season.

Quiet and dry weather will follow for the weekend, and as it looks, all the way through next week as well.  This dry streak we're experiencing is turning into one of epic proportions, as we will soon cross the mark of 50 rainless days...

As always, THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK can be found on a tab at the top of the page.