Thursday, October 20, 2011

disturbances... (am.20.oct.11)>

we have a few clouds around the area this morning just before sunrise, with a humidity reading of 44%.  the overnight low has been 59.0F (15.0C) here at the top of mcleod ganj.

a rather complex weather pattern is developing just to our west and north, and will bring varying degrees of changes to the western himalayan region during the next few days.  jetstream winds are increasing, and will bring in a series of upper-level disturbances between now and early next week.  temperatures in all levels of the atmosphere will be cooling... especially above 3500m (11,500ft), and clouds will be on the increase.

it remains to be seen whether we'll be able to get any significant rainfall here in the immediate area... my gut instinct at this point is NO.  but that may not be the case in the higher elevations of himachal pradesh and kashmir, where there could be some periods of moderate rain and snow showers.  this weekend will be a bit precarious in the mountains, so be prepared if you plan to be trekking, crossing higher passes, and camping out!

THURSDAY: increasing cloudiness.  slight chance of a PM shower.
high: 21C (70F)

THURSDAY NIGHT: partly to mostly cloudy with a continuing slight chance of a shower.
low: 14C (58F)

FRIDAY: partly to mostly cloudy and cooler.  a shower or two possible.
high: 19C (67F)

SATURDAY: a mix of clouds and periods of sun.  seasonably cool, with a chance of a shower.
morning low: 14C (57F)
daytime high: 19C (66F)

SUNDAY: partly sunny... still the risk of scattered light showers in the area.
morning low: 13C (56F)
daytime high: 19C (67F)

MONDAY: partly cloudy with near normal october temps.
morning low: 14C (57F)
daytime high: 20C (68F)