Sunday, October 23, 2011

threatening... (am.23.oct.11)>

we have mostly cloudy skies this morning, after a round of very gusty winds, very light showers, and a rumble or two of thunder between roughly 3:00 and 4:00am.  once again, the rainfall wasn't enough to measure, at least here in upper mcleod ganj just below the mountaineering center.  i recorded an overnight low temp of 59F (15C).

the center of our upper-level disturbance is still well to the northwest, over northern pakistan, and there is a large area of thick cloud cover and embedded thundershowers associated with it.  computer model guidance (and satellite trends) continue to keep the bulk of the stormy weather across kashmir and extreme northern himachal, as this system sweeps through during the coming 24 hours.

periods of rain and snow are likely in the mountains... today is not going to be a very good day for trekkers, climbers and campers above triund and up to the dhauladar passes.  down here in mcleod, i still think we could get a shot at a period of showers and/or thunderstorms, but i'll be surprised if the rainfall is very significant.  will try to post updates if things turn nasty!

the situation will improve as the week goes on, with increasing sunshine, low humidity and pleasant fall temperatures.

SUNDAY: partly to mostly cloudy skies with a good chance of a period of showers, and perhaps a thunderstorm.  gusty winds at times.
high: 19C (67F)

SUNDAY NIGHT: a thundershower or two possible, otherwise partly cloudy and a bit cooler.
low: 12C (53F)

MONDAY: still a slight chance of a shower or thundershower in the area, otherwise partly sunny.
high: 19C (67F)

TUESDAY: sunny to partly cloudy.
morning low: 14C (57F)
daytime high: 20C (68F)

WEDNESDAY: mostly sunny and nice.
morning low: 14C (57F)
daytime high: 21C (69F)

THURSDAY: lots of sunshine.
morning low: 14C (57F)
daytime high: 21C (69F)