Wednesday, November 9, 2011

a veil of cirrus... (pm.8.nov.11)>

we have a broken high overcast sky this evening at sunset.  despite the limited sunshine, i recorded the warmest high temp since the 26th of october (diwali) @ 65.7F (18.7C).  our humidity reading hovered in the 50-55% range for most of the day.

the big ridge of high pressure which provided us with tons of sunshine during the first part of the week is in the process of dissolving, as a batch of upper-level energy continues to approach from the west.  temperatures in all layers of the atmosphere are quite a bit above normal for this time of year.  that very warm air aloft combined with some tropical moisture being pulled northward ahead of the approaching disturbance is what brought us the high level cirrus clouds today.

things may get a little more interesting and active during the coming 48 hours or so, as this disturbance moves across northern india.  computer models are in a state of disagreement, but there is a general consensus that scattered showers and perhaps some thundershowers will develop on thursday into friday across kashmir and parts of himachal pradesh.  rainfall amounts should be on the light side (less than 1cm/0.40") if we get any at all, but any sort of measureable rain during november is a notable event.  of course rain showers at our elevation this time of year equals snow up on the dhauladar passes... so be ready for that, trekkers and climbers.

temps will remain above normal for another day or maybe two... until cooler air flows back in over the weekend.  but still, nothing particularly cold for this time of year is on the horizon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: partly to mostly cloudy and unusually mild.
low: 14C (57F)

THURSDAY: periods of both clouds and some sun, with a couple of showers or thundershowers possible.  still very mild for november.
high: 19C (67F)

FRIDAY: chance of a shower or thundershower in the area, otherwise partly cloudy.
morning low: 13C (55F)
daytime high: 19C (66F)

SATURDAY: partly cloudy and a bit cooler.
morning low: 12C (53F)
daytime high: 17C (63F)

SUNDAY: sunny to partly cloudy skies.
morning low: 11C (52F)
daytime high: 17C (62F)

MONDAY: sunny to partly cloudy and seasonably cool.
morning low: 11C (51F)
daytime high: 17C (62F)