Monday, June 25, 2012

more rain this week... (am.25.jun.12)>

It is totally overcast early this Monday morning.  Occasional rain, thunder and even some patches of thick fog moved through the area last night, starting around 9:00pm.  I don't know what time the rain ended, but I was surprised to find 0.68" (1.7cm) in my rain gauge this morning -- another healthy dose.  Here on Tushita Road at the top of McLeod Ganj I have a 7:00am temp of 71.8F (22.1C), but during the rain, the overnight low fell all the way to 64.4F (19.1C).

Unless we can get these clouds to break up and allow a few hours of sunshine, today could end up being one of the coolest days of the month.  We have weak westerly flow aloft, but in the lower-levels, the general flow will be from the southeast later today, which will likely continue to bring in some waves of higher humidity.  This surge of more moisture-laden air is expected to increase further tomorrow and Wednesday, so there will continue to be fuel for scattered showers and thundershowers, with more moderate to heavy downpours possible.  Temperatures will be comfortable under cloudiness... but if/when the sunshine appears, the humidity factor will make it feel very warm and muggy.

The latest computer models are actually showing a retreat of this pre-monsoon moisture for the end of the week, so we could see a drop in humidity and rain chances, along with rebounding temperatures... especially by Friday.

MONDAY:
a mix of clouds and occasional sun.  another period or two of showers/thundershowers possible.
high: 27C (80F)

MONDAY NIGHT:
partly to mostly cloudy.  a shower or thundershower likely.
low: 19C (66F)

TUESDAY:
more humid, with both clouds and sun.  good chance of a couple of rounds of rain and thunder.
high: 26C (79F)

WEDNESDAY:
a few periods of sun in the midst of clouds.  humid, with a good chance of occasional rain showers and thunder.
morning low: 18C (65F)
daytime high: 26C (78F)

THURSDAY:
partly cloudy.  risk of a thundershower, mainly in the PM.
morning low: 20C (68F)
daytime high: 27C (80F)

FRIDAY:
sunshine and occasional clouds.  a PM thundershower possible.
morning low: 22C (71F)
daytime high: 27C (81F)