Thursday, November 29, 2012

wx excitement... (pm.29.nov.12)>

*Update @ 9:02pm... I still have some moderate rain showers in progress here in the upper part of town, with a current temp of 39.7F (4.3C).  The rain should be coming to an end fairly soon, with clearing skies around midnight.  I'll post the final rainfall tally here early tomorrow morning.!

*Update @ 7:40pm... And now, some rumbles of thunder.  But from the satellite view, it appears that we are now on the back edge of the rain/snow/sleet, as the center of this upper-level circulation passes overhead and finally moves to the east.  There could be be a few more showers between now and 10pm or so.  Updated rainfall/temperature data in the stats below...

*Update @ 6:57pm... We've had the heaviest rain of the entire day during the past hour as the center of this storm system moves into northwestern Himachal.  I'll post new rainfall totals and low temp info later this evening...

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Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 39.2F (4.0C) -- at 6:20pm
High temp: 54.5F (12.5C) -- between 11:00 and 11:30am
Rainfall: 0.48" (1.2cm) -- as of 7:30pm

It's cloudy with occasional rain showers around the area just after dark this Thursday evening.  This has definitely been the most wintry day of the season, with mostly cloudy skies, off-and-on light rain, and a coating of snow well below Triund.  We did manage to get a couple of periods of sunshine in the midst of it all, but our high temp still ended up being the coldest of our young 2012 winter season.

The vigorous upper-level disturbance responsible for all this is currently centered over extreme southwestern Kashmir near Jammu, and will have moved east of us by sunrise on Friday.  As it passes, rain and snow showers will remain in the forecast for us here along the leading slopes of the Dhauladhars, but I still think precipitation chances are going to rapidly and dramatically diminish after midnight or so.  There has been some sleet mixed in with the rain here in McLeod just in the past few minutes as I type... and we will see some gusty winds and perhaps hear a little thunder before all is said and done.  Of course the snow line will inch downward overnight... but significant accumulations should remain above Dharamkot (!?).

It's looking like tomorrow (Friday) will be a vast improvement over today, with much more sunshine in the forecast.  Early morning temps will definitely be the coldest of the season, but the sun should bring a bit of comfort as the day progresses.  No more significant storm systems are on the horizon through the weekend into early next week, as a slow warming trend kicks in.

THURSDAY NIGHT:
rain showers and even some sleet mixed in, along with gusty winds at times... then clearing skies by midnight.  coldest night!!
low: 4C (39F)

FRIDAY:
sunny to partly cloudy.  temps remaining unseasonably chilly.
high: 12C (54F)

FRIDAY NIGHT:
mostly clear.  quite cold.
low: 6C (43F)

SATURDAY:
sunshine, along with some mainly PM clouds.
high: 13C (55F)

SUNDAY:
a mix of sun and occasional clouds.
morning low: 7C (44F)
daytime high: 13C (56F)

MONDAY:
sun and a few clouds.  a bit milder.
morning low: 8C (46F)
daytime high: 14C (57F)

TUESDAY:
sun and some high clouds at times.  tolerably mild for December!
morning low: 8C (47F)
daytime high: 14C (58F)