Wednesday, July 17, 2013

100% juicy... (am.17.jul.13)>

The fog is about as thick as it gets outside my window early this morning, with the temperature hovering right around 68F (20C).  Although there have been some light rain showers and nearly constant drizzle overnight, I'm only showing an additional 0.21" (5mm) in my rain gauge since the last report.  That does bring us to 2.02" (5.1cm) since this time yesterday morning, however. 

Weather forecasting this time of year can get pretty monotonous, since deep tropical moisture dominates the atmosphere, with numerous little wiggles and ripples in the upper levels to set off round after round of rainfall.  That is what the middle of monsoon season is all about, and we just have to be braced for downpours at any time of the day or night.  Of course after what happened in Uttarakhand last month, many people are paranoid and on edge about another massive dumping of rain that could cause landslides, wash out roads, and trap pilgrims and other travelers.  Those kinds of micro-scale events are nearly impossible to predict, but it does look like there will be a chance of a few rounds of heavier rainfall across Himachal Pradesh during the coming several days, with the best bet still looking to be between late Friday and Sunday.  Keep that in mind.

The latest data from the India Met Department shows Himachal at 47% above normal rainfall since the 1st of June.  Of course that is due to the MUCH above normal rainfall we received during the middle of last month, because since that time, rain amounts have been much closer to average.

I'm keeping the CURRENT FORECAST updated on the tab above, but it's probably boring enough to put you into a coma...