Thursday, November 21, 2013

fluctuations... (pm.21.nov.13)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 49.8F (9.9C) -- at 7pm *updated
High temp: 57.7F (14.3C)
Rainfall: none

We have clear skies after sunset this evening, and it's noticeably cooler again.  Apart from some haze down in the valleys and a just a few cumulus clouds over the mountain peaks during the afternoon, it has been another decisively sunny day.  Classic late autumn in the Himalayas -- it feels very warm in the direct sunlight, but very cool in the shade.  Humidity has been in the 40-50% range today.

Cooler air flowing into north India in the wake of an upper-level disturbance swinging by to our north resulted in the lowest high temp I have recorded in the past nine days, though it's less than 5 degrees (f) cooler than our high temp of the month which occurred on Monday.  That disturbance is quickly moving off to the east, and will be replaced by a rather steep ridge of high pressure developing across our area tomorrow and Saturday.  We should have a very stable atmosphere along with a gradual increase in temperatures over the course of the weekend.

A rather strong storm system will ease its way from Iraq into western Pakistan by Saturday evening.  However, all of the computer model guidance shows this system weakening rapidly and falling apart as it approaches the western Himalayan region.  Right now it seems that any rain/snow will be unlikely, though an increase in high cloudiness may keep us from enjoying full sunshine over the weekend into early next week.

The CURRENT FORECAST details are available on the tab at the top of the page.