Saturday, January 25, 2014

sun thru high clouds... (am.25.jan.14)>

There's quite a lot of high cloudiness across the area as the sun rises this morning.  The overnight low temp was 43.9F (6.6C) here at my location, and there has been no precipitation.  The humidity reading is 43% at the start of the day.

A brisk and consistent west-to-east flow in the upper atmosphere is carrying a very weak disturbance into the western Himalayan region this morning, which will provide us with some periods of mainly mid- and high cloudiness today into Sunday.  There looks to be a little better chance of some scattered light rain and/or snow showers well to our north, but all the data points to nothing more than perhaps a brief isolated shower anywhere close to us.  The average moisture content of our air mass -- from top to bottom -- continues to decrease in the wake of our storm system earlier in the week, and that should keep the risk of measurable precipitation very low for several days.

We're now actually reaching the end of the time of year (January 12-25) with the coldest average temperatures, according to historical records for the Dharamsala area.  As long as the sun will cooperate, we should be well into the 50s(F) as we move into next week, which is above the norm.  I'm also keeping an eye on the extended range data, which suggests some kind of storm development during the first week of February -- so we shouldn't assume that our risk of snow for this season has come to an end.!

CURRENT FORECAST details can be found on the tab at the top of the page.