Thursday, January 16, 2014

the next threat... (pm.16.jan.14)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 43.2F (6.2C)
High temp: 52.7F (11.5C)
Precipitation: none

We have both high clouds and some patches of fog around the area this evening.  Sunshine dominated the morning hours, but the clouds gradually encroached upon us during the afternoon, as expected -- but not before our temps reached a well above normal zone for this time of year.  Humidity fluctuated between 45 and 75% for most of the day.

Our next weather-maker is centered along the Iran/Afghanistan border this evening, and has already spread a wide area of high cloudiness out ahead of it.  This upper-level disturbance will approach northern India tomorrow, and then move right across the area Friday night into Saturday.  It is not a very strong system, but it's going to destabilize the atmosphere as far south as central India during the coming 24-36 hours or so, while tapping into some moisture to trigger widespread shower and thundershower action to our east and southeast.  All the computer model data continues to keep us on the very northwest fringes of significant precipitation as this system moves through -- so I'm still not expecting more than a few periods of light rain between late tomorrow and Saturday, with snow in the higher elevations above town.  BUT -- computer models this season have both over- and under- predicted precipitation amounts with three previous storm systems, so we can't take anything for granted and need to monitor the development carefully.

Sunday and Monday will be "in between" days, with a mix of clouds and sun, and temps bouncing back above normal for mid-January... but then it looks potentially wet again by the middle of next week.  The pattern remains active, but still unable to stir up a truly significant Himalayan winter storm for us.

Get the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab at the top of the page.