Saturday, January 4, 2014

unstable weekend... (pm.04.jan.14)>

*Update @ 7:44pm... Just before 7pm some drizzle and sprinkles of rain began, but it has barely wet the ground and there is no measurement registering in my rain gauge.  Gusty winds are gradually bringing in colder air.  Current temp: 44.8F (7.1C).  Humidity: 51%.

------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 43.7F (6.5C)
High temp: 50.9F (10.5C)
Precipitation: trace

We have mostly cloudy skies this evening, and it looks like there could be an area of rain showers trying to organize just to our south.  Today turned out pretty close to expectations, with a mix of sun and clouds, and some widely scattered very light showers trying desperately to get going.  The limiting factor was the lack of moisture -- as humidity remained in the 35-50% range for most of the day.  We had gusty winds off and on as well, with temperatures down a few degrees from yesterday.

An upper-level disturbance with its counter-clockwise circulation is hovering just to our northwest, and will be the main weather-driver through the remainder of the weekend and even into early Monday morning.  The air mass moving in up around 15,000ft is the coldest of this entire winter season thus far, and will keep things rather unstable for the next 36 hours or so.  What little moisture is available is being lifted upward against the mountains and into the increasingly cold air aloft, and that's what generated the very light shower activity today.  I'm thinking there is at least a chance that we could see measurable rain and/or snow shower activity in our area tonight, Sunday or even Sunday night, but precip amounts should be relatively light (below 0.20"/5mm).  One thing is for sure, temperatures will be on their way down between now and Monday.

The next event on the horizon is a potentially strong winter storm system for Wednesday through at least Friday.  Computer models are showing a 'double-barreled' upper-level system which could keep us on the wet and stormy side for an extended period.  It's way too early to contemplate the rain/snow boundary, but it certainly looks like we'll have enough cold air in place to allow decent snowfall very close to McLeod Ganj and surrounds.  Regular updates to follow.

Get the CURRENT FORECAST details for the coming five days on the tab above.