Friday, February 21, 2014

no sign of spring... (pm.21.feb.14)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 43.9F (6.6C)
High temp: 55.4F (13.0C)
Precipitation: none

It's partly cloudy this evening -- at the end of another day with alternating clouds and sun.  The sunshine was dominant until around noon, giving us a high temp around that time which was a couple of degrees (F) milder than expected.  But then it became a bit breezy with some thicker clouds at times during the afternoon, making it feel cooler.  We've yet to see any shower development.

I'll have to say that I'm not at all impressed with the way this next system is coming together up to this point, and even less impressed with the way a couple of the computer models are dealing with its development during the next 12-24 hours.  There is some moisture being drawn in from the south and southeast, but the upper-level circulation itself is not very strong... so it seems that we'll be dealing with a much less robust system than we were in the middle of this time last week.  Also, there's not nearly as sharp of a battle line between milder/colder air masses this time around.

Still... some rain shower development is expected to occur in our vicinity overnight, with the potential for some occasional moderate periods of rain tomorrow (Sat) into tomorrow night.  We could get surprised, but I'm thinking rainfall totals will be around one inch (2.5cm) or less by the time Sunday morning arrives.  Of course the rain/snow line will have to be watched carefully, but will most likely remain well above McLeod proper.

Rapid improvement is expected on Sunday, but despite a rebound in temps, we'll stay in this 'below normal' range as we head toward the final few days of February.  No genuine glimpses of spring in sight...

CURRENT FORECAST specifics can be found on the tab above.