Sunday, March 23, 2014

another wet spell... (pm.23.mar.14)>

*Update @ 9:20pm... According to satellite pics there is a large area of rain and thunderstorms pushing into central Punjab right now... and its northeastward movement should bring it into our area later tonight.  Of course it could fall apart as it moves in our direction, but I think the atmospheric environment would favor continued development/strengthening overnight.

*Update @ 7:57pm... The first rain showers of this new weather system have developed during the past 15 minutes or so.  They're only light thus far, but a sign of things to come.

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Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 52.0F (11.1C)
High temp: 58.8F (14.9C)
Rainfall: trace (updated at 7:57pm)

There are thick clouds blanketing the entire area just before sunset this evening.  Other than a couple of faint glimmers of sun, the clouds have been very consistent and persistent today, keeping temperatures from rising very much at all.  In fact, it ended up being several degrees cooler than yesterday due to the absence of sunshine -- which we don't need a thermometer to tell us.  There may have been a couple of sprinkles somewhere around the area during the past couple of hours, but I haven't seen any rain drops yet myself.

A stationary upper-level low pressure system is sitting on top of central Turkmenistan this evening, with the center of circulation expected to move very little during the next couple of days at least.  It is now tapping into an impressive amount of moisture and pulling it northward from the Arabian Sea -- setting the stage for some potentially significant shower and thunderstorm development in our general vicinity between later tonight and early Tuesday.  An average of computer model data would point to between 1 and 2 inches (2.5-5cm) of rain by about noon on Tuesday, so if this indeed occurs, we'll see our March rainfall tally rise even further above normal than it has already.  There could also be some periods of strong and gusty winds if/when strong thunderstorms get going during the coming 12-18 hours or so.

It looks like we'll see a decent break in the action between later on Tuesday and perhaps Thursday afternoon, but then yet another wave of rain and thunderstorms will enter the picture for the latter part of the week.  Our air mass throughout this week will support pleasant temperatures -- but that's only if we can get several hours of sunshine now and then.  

Stay tuned for updates, and check the CURRENT FORECAST on the tab above.