Saturday, March 29, 2014

attempts at improvement... (am.29.mar.14)>

It's not 100% cloud-free early this Saturday morning, but there's plenty of sunshine out there nonetheless.  Looking very nice.  According to satellite pics, there were a couple of isolated light rain showers across parts of western Himachal overnight, but it doesn't look like much (if anything) was added to my rain gauge -- leaving the rainfall total since Thursday night at 0.71" (1.8cm).  I'm recording a low temperature of 51.6F (10.9C), and the humidity this morning is 41%.

According to the available data and charts, we're now embarking upon a period of about four days of better weather, thanks to a weak ridge of high pressure which will be attempting to build across northwest India.  It's not as robust of a fair-weather pattern as we'd like to be seeing this time of year, but it's at least looking more calm and peaceful and bright than what we've had to deal with during the past week or so.  The caveat, of course, is the menacing risk of some kind of cloud/thundershower development over the mountains during the afternoon hours.  We'll just have to be aware of that and keep watch for it on a day-by-day basis.  Otherwise, sunshine is looking more plentiful, as temperatures push back into a pleasant range -- though still remaining a few degrees below average for this time of year.

Looking further down the road, there will be another upper-level disturbance ripping across northern India late Wednesday through Thursday, bringing with it an increasing chance of a few showers.  Then another few days of drier and warmer weather arriving next weekend -- although I have very little confidence in computer model guidance beyond about 5-6 days.

Check the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab above.