Thursday, March 13, 2014

spring's emergence... (pm.13.mar.14)>

Thursday's stats:

Low temp: 46.4F (8.0C)
High temp: 58.3F (14.6C)
Precipitation: none

Other than a few thin wisps of cirrus clouds, we have mostly clear skies at sunset this evening.  Patches of high clouds that were dimming the sun for a while during the early morning quickly yielded to abundant sunshine today -- providing us with the warmest day of 2014 (by a hair).  In the direct sun if felt a lot warmer than the actual air temperature would indicate, which remained several degrees (F) below normal for the middle of March.  Still, it was a fantastic day, with even better ones to come.

A sprawling ridge of high pressure in the upper atmosphere continues to strengthen across northern India, and will remain our main weather feature through the weekend.  Our air mass will continue its steady warm-up during the coming several days, but we'll remain dependent on occasional high clouds (or lack thereof) to see whether or not temperatures here at the surface will respond accordingly.  There seems to be no doubt, however, that we've got the warmest temperatures of this new spring season on the way as our atmosphere undergoes a fundamental shift.

The risk of some shower and thundershower development will increase in the mountains to our north on Saturday into Sunday, but right now it appears that we will be on the very southern fringes of any of that.  Then, an upper-level disturbance moving across north India on Monday and Tuesday will knock down our high pressure ridge, tap into a bit of moisture, and bring us a better chance of some rainfall.  At the moment this system looks relatively minor, but we'll keep an eye on it.

Get the CURRENT FORECAST specifics on the tab above.