Friday, March 14, 2014

warmest since november... (pm.14.mar.14)>

Friday's stats:

Low temp: 50.2F (10.1C)
High temp: 63.0F (17.2C)
Rainfall: none

There are a few high clouds around the area at sunset this evening, but it's a mild and pleasant one nonetheless.  Sunshine was firmly in control all day long, with very few high clouds and also only a tiny amount of mountain cumulus development during the afternoon hours.  My high temp in the upper part of town (see above) was the warmest I've recorded since the 24th of November, which is the first tangible indication that we are indeed finally climbing out of the winter season.  It has taken an unusually long time this year to finally get above 60F (15.5C).

Today's temperatures are actually still just a shade below normal for this stage of March, which tells us just how much cooler than normal our temps have been during the past several weeks.  But this milder air is here to stay, it appears, and will only be challenged by the threat of increasing high clouds and a slight chance of a couple of showers over the weekend.  Already some upper-level energy is attempting to push into extreme northwest India, and will likely ignite some thundershower development to our north both tomorrow (Sat) and Sunday as well.  Our high pressure ridge should remain strong enough to shield us from most of that development, but keep in mind the risk.  If we can end up with more sun than clouds during the next two days, we'll warm up even further.

We're still expecting a stronger upper-level disturbance to push across northern India on Monday and Tuesday, giving us a better chance of a couple of periods of more significant shower and thunderstorm action.  Right now the best chance of rain looks to be from Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening... but of course we'll have to keep watching how the latest data evolves.  Temps will dip during that period as well, but should gradually bounce back again during the middle and latter parts of next week.

CURRENT FORECAST information in detail can be found on the tab above.