Saturday, May 31, 2014

another new high... (pm.31.may.14)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 66.9F (19.4C)
High temp: 83.9F (28.8C)
Rainfall: none

We're in the midst of a warm and beautiful evening, with only a few clouds scattered here and there.  Concerns about thunderstorm development ended up being useless, as all of the action has remained well to our north.  Instead, we've had lots of sunshine with only some moderate cumulus development over the mountains, and temperatures which reached a new high for the month, the season, and the year.  As long as nothing dramatic happens during the next 5-6 hours or so, we'll be ending May on a high note.

A very warm and stable air mass in place to our southwest has managed to claim a bit of territory today, forcing the main track of showers and thunderstorms a bit further to our north.  There is still a string of weak disturbances and circulations in the upper atmosphere moving across the western Himalayas, but as of this evening, the vast majority of the rain/thunder development has been across northern Pakistan into central Kashmir.  We're going to have to continue to be on a state of alert for the potential for some of that instability to sink further southward between tonight and late Sunday night -- as all the computer models are keeping us precariously close to the action.  So, the rest of the weekend is truly up in the air.

Then, the most warm, dry and stable looking pattern of this entire spring/summer season is showing up on the extended range charts starting on Tuesday, and continuing into the middle of the month.  Of course all kinds of things could enter the picture to spoil all that, but for now, it's a positive outlook...

CURRENT FORECAST details are always available on the tab above -- and I've just posted information on the approaching monsoon season on another tab at the top of the page.