Saturday, May 24, 2014

outlook adjustments... (am.24.may.14)>

It's a much different look out there this morning -- with mostly clear skies greeting the sun as it rises over the mountains.  There was a lot of lightning along with some rumbles of thunder lingering until late last night, but I recorded no additional measurable rainfall here at my location.  That leaves the total between late Thursday night and last evening at 0.45" (1.1cm).  It seemed like more than that, since the numerous showers kept hitting on and off consistently throughout most of the day, but actually, most of the rain itself was on the lighter side.  My overnight low temp has been 61.7F (16.5C), and the sunrise humidity is 42%.

There is much better news to report this morning, as the shifts in the computer models' projections of our changing atmosphere continue in the same vein that began to show up late yesterday.  It seems that a majority of both the dynamic and thermodynamic energy associated with this latest series of disturbances was used up yesterday -- instead of being spread out over the entire weekend into early next week.  It's now looking much more quiet as we progress through the weekend, though there is still a risk of some thunderstorm development during the afternoon hours, mainly in the vicinity of the mountains.  Each day between now and Monday we're going to have to keep a close eye on that potential, otherwise the sunshine is looking plentiful, with temperatures perhaps warming a bit more than previously expected.

A genuine ridge of summertime high pressure is now organizing from the Arabian Peninsula across the Persian Gulf, and is showing signs of poking its nose in our direction toward the middle of next week.  If this trend turns out to be for real, then we will see a major jump in temperatures -- making it finally feel like late May is supposed to feel.  Stay tuned.

CURRENT FORECAST info can always be found on the tab at the top of the page.