Monday, July 21, 2014

temporarily calmer... (am.21.jul.14)>

The sun is playing hide-and-seek with the clouds as it rises over the Dhauladhars on this Monday morning.  There was a bit of drizzle and a few sprinkles of rain during the predawn, but not enough to measure in the rain gauge.  I'm recording an overnight low of 64.8F (18.2C), and the humidity reading is just above 80%.

Rainfall at my location in the upper part of town has measured only 2.31" (5.9cm) since Thursday, so we're definitely back into a relatively weak phase of the monsoon -- temporarily.  Of course we've had at least one or two periods of showers each and every day, but amounts haven't been as heavy as they were for several days in a row earlier last week.  It's always very interesting to watch these ebbs and flows, surges and retreats that cycle up and down and back and forth during the monsoon season.

It looks to me like this calmer period is not going to last much longer, as there is already evidence of a moistening of the atmosphere from the surface into the upper-levels by this evening, and especially during Tuesday.  That may not initially trigger widespread and heavier rainfall, but it's going to set the stage for that to happen as we move toward the middle of the week.  The data from late last night and this morning is pointing to extremely heavy rainfall amounts over our area -- and virtually all of Himachal Pradesh -- by Thursday/Friday, if not before.  We shall watch.

Get the CURRENT FORECAST details on the tab at the top of the page.