Thursday, September 4, 2014

soggy times... (am.04.sep.14)>

Light rain is falling early this Thursday morning, after a night of nearly continuous rain.  It hasn't been heavy, at least not up til now, but there's been roughly a half-inch (1.2cm) during the overnight hours.  Still not much fog around, but we've got a lot of heavy clouds blanketing the area.

A southeasterly flow of moisture-laden air in the lower levels of the atmosphere is teaming up with a south-southwesterly flow in the higher levels to create very good conditions for widespread rain shower development across much of northwestern India.  A wave of upper-level energy with an associated pool of colder air aloft is also expected to drift through during the next 24-36 hours or so, and that's going to enhance our potential for significant rainfall.

This morning's computer model data is actually projecting the very heaviest rain to fall slightly to our west -- along the India/Pakistan border from Punjab northward through extreme western Jammu & Kashmir.  We'll see if that turns out to be true, or if it's just a glitch in the resolution of the various sets of model data.  At any rate, it looks like a wet couple of days ahead -- with any brighter/drier periods likely to be temporary and brief.