Sunday, October 12, 2014

super-dry atmosphere... (pm.12.oct.14)>

Sunday's stats:

Low temp: 60.3F (15.7C)
High temp: 70.3F (21.3C)
Rainfall: none

As if it couldn't get any better... today seemed to outshine the last three days, with a very minor amount of afternoon cumulus cloud development over the mountains providing any competition for the beautiful autumn sunshine.  Also, I recorded a humidity reading as low as 20% late this morning, which is the lowest I can remember since perhaps a random day or two late last May.

With gorgeous weather here in our neighborhood, it's hard to relate to the fact that the east-central Indian coast is being battered by a severe tropical cyclone.  Cyclone Hudhud is now inland, and will be rapidly weakening during the next 12-24 hours as it drifts to the northwest.  I am amazed at all the wild disagreement between the various sets of computer model data -- some keeping the residual moisture associated with this system well to our southeast, and some bringing it right to our doorstep.  At the same time, we've got a fairly strong upper-level system dropping in from the northwest, so it's going to be interesting to see how all of these converging elements affect us during the Tuesday to Thursday time frame.

From the current vantage point, I think we need to be braced for an increase in humidity along with an increase in clouds by Tuesday, along with the return of the risk of some shower and/or thundershower development during the mid-week period.  Of course we could remain high and dry, but it's smart to be aware of the potential for some changes in the days ahead...