Friday, June 26, 2015

another warming trend... (am.26.jun.15)>

Our sky is absolutely and totally clear as the sun comes up this morning.  My temperature at this moment is the overnight low -- 61.2 (16.2C) -- and there has been no measurable precipitation since last report.  The current humidity reading is 64%.

The complex storm system which moved across northwest India the last few days and prompted the monsoon onset declaration by the India Met Department has now fizzled out -- with a cluster of thunderstorms moving into central Nepal this morning all that's really left of it.  Although the deepest tropical moisture has been pushed temporarily to our south and southeast, there's still a lot of latent moisture in our air mass, so after a good dose of sunshine this morning we'll likely see considerable cloud development over the mountains.  An isolated shower or thundershower during the PM hours is not out of the question, as our atmosphere becomes unstable for a few hours.

A push of much warmer air in the mid- and upper-levels is on the way for the weekend, and according to all the models, should stabilize things very nicely, while warming us up several degrees.  However, we again have to keep in mind the mainly afternoon mountain instability factor -- with periods of cloudiness and the mentionable risk of a PM thundershower somewhere around the area.

By Sunday night into Monday, the deeper and richer tropical moisture lurking not far to our southeast will advance again, leading to an increasing chance of occasional rain and thunder, and most likely some more pervasive cloudiness and patchy fog as well.

Take a look at THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK tab above for forecast details.