Wednesday, June 17, 2015

heat is building... (am.17.jun.15)>

A beautiful morning is shaping up -- we have totally clear skies at dawn, with very comfortable temperatures.  I'm recording an overnight low of 66.7F (19.3C) which has occurred just in the last half hour.  Humidity stands at 40%, and there has been no rainfall since last report.

We're enjoying a period of general stability, thanks to a strengthening bubble of high pressure which continues to push in from the west-southwest.  In fact, it's maybe the strongest high pressure ridge we've seen this entire season, and the computer model data has been consistent for a few days now in showing temperatures from central Pakistan into northwest India near or maybe even slightly above anything we've experienced yet this year -- especially between today and Friday or Saturday.  That means we may yet get another run at 90ºF (32ºC) before deeper tropical moisture moves in and erases our potential for that kind of heat.

Of course we still have to be on guard for the build-up of clouds over the mountains toward the noon hour, with a mentionable risk of an isolated thundershower during the afternoons or early evenings.  Otherwise, expect lots of sunshine as we enjoy what could be our last period of genuine summertime temps the next few days.

The leading edge of the monsoon has made some significant northward movements during the last week to ten days, but it's still very far away from us.  However, the first significant surge of juicy tropical moisture could slide northwestward along the front slopes of the mountains this weekend, with an increasing chance of some periods of heavier showers and thunderstorms by Sunday into Monday.  We'll be watching that closely...

THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK and AWAITING MONSOON 2015 can be found on tabs at the top of the page.