Monday, August 17, 2015

less rain for now... (pm.17.aug.15)>

Monday's stats:

Low temp: 64.6F (18.1C)
High temp: 71.4F (21.9C)
Rainfall: 0.13" (3mm) 

It is absolutely and totally foggy just before dark this evening, with visibility only a couple of hundred meters at best here in the middle of town.  For the second day in a row we've had rather light rainfall amounts, after the heavy daily totals of the previous week or more.  There's been a lot of variability between clouds, sun and fog today, as expected, along with those brief and light periods of rain.

We're in the midst of a minor retreat phase of monsoon conditions right now, which may  continue to provide us with lower rainfall amounts through Wednesday or so.  Slightly drier air has been attempting to work its way into the northwest quarter of India, but here along the mountains, it's not having much of an effect on this entrenched moisture-laden air mass.  Still, we can hope for occasional glimpses of sunshine tomorrow (Tue) and perhaps again on Wednesday.  Thereafter, the models/data seem to agree that we'll be contending with yet another major surge of moisture coming in from the southeast.  That's going to increase our risk of heavy rainfall for the latter part of the week.

Everytime I check the extended range charts I am anxious to see the status of this significant drying trend which has been hinted at for around the 24th of August and beyond.  It is still there, but seems that it may not last more than about four or five days before the deep tropical moisture creeps back in.

Remember to check the MONSOON 2015: RAINFALL TALLY on the tab at the top of the page, along with THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK.