Saturday, May 7, 2016

waiting for a warm-up... (pm.07.may.16)>

Saturday's stats:

Low temp: 61.2F (16.2C)
High temp: 74.8F (23.8C) -- updated
Rainfall: none

Today's high temperature fell well short of expectations, due to cloudiness which hung along the mountains all day long -- it seems the sun was playing hide-and-seek continuously here at our elevation along the front slopes of the Dhauladhars.  It was a pleasant enough day, though humidity in the 40-50% range was much higher than we were dealing with several days ago.  Skies are partly cloudy as sunset approaches, with some isolated thundershowers well east-northeast of us.

Dramatic warming is taking place in the upper-levels of the atmosphere, but we're stuck in a bit of an inversion layer, with temperatures lagging behind what is happening aloft.  I'm still pretty confident that we will eventually participate in that major warm-up, so we'll try for it again tomorrow, and also on Monday.  There is a risk of a couple of thundershowers popping up somewhere around the area between now and Monday evening, but our atmosphere will be fairly stable for the most part.

Starting on Tuesday, things are looking downright bizarre for this time of year.  A massive area of moisture will gather to our southwest, and press up along the north Indian Himalayas, as a few weak disturbances drift along the west-northwesterly flow in the upper-atmosphere.  That means we'll have at least a 50/50 chance of a round or two of showers and thunderstorms each day, all the way into next Friday or Saturday, with some moderate to heavy rainfall amounts possible.  As I've mentioned, the heavy rain earlier this week has already put us well above normal for May, so this would not be something we particularly need.

Follow THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK (above) for forecast specifics...